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From Dan: Obama's Got the Edge
posted on October 22, 2012 by Dan
The Presidential race is still tight, volatile. Modest edge for Obama, mostly because he still has a thin advantage in Ohio. Hard to make the case on the basis of current polls and other indications that Romney wins unless he carries Ohio. But mark well: Romney can win. Not to say that he will, just that he remains very much in the game. (1) Current polls and other indicators are subject
to shifts (and may even be wrong in present estimates). (2) A few upsets in states here and there and Romney may not absolutely, positively have to win Ohio. (3) Ohio seems still close enough that Romney could upset and win there (keep in mind: the whole upper tier of Ohio state government is in the hands of the GOP now; in very close voting they have the power to influence what votes are counted and how...remember Ohio, Bush v. Kerry in 2004 and Florida, Bush v. Gore in 2000).